In this 2024-25 biennium, IMDS has consolidated itself as a center of excellence and reference for the theme of Social Mobility. There were several activities and products that resulted in 95 insertions in the most prestigious Brazilian media. During this period, we signed and renewed Technical Cooperation Agreements (TCA) with the states of Piauí, Mato Grosso do Sul, São Paulo and Rio Grande do Sul, as well as the municipalities of Rio de Janeiro and Vitória (ES). We renewed our TCA with the Ministry of Development and Social Assistance, Family and Fight against Hunger (MDS), establishing an ambitious work program for the next five years.
This wide range of TCAs displays a broad and complex agenda of studies to support public administration. Thus, for example, we evaluated the establishment and expansion of full-time high school education with the government of Piauí; we assisted in the evaluation of the All Youth at School and Teacher of Tomorrow programs in the state of Rio Grande do Sul, in addition to presenting a proposal for tax distribution to induce the offer of vacancies for early childhood care in the same state.
With regard to the TCA of São Paulo, we assist in the definition of the Productive Inclusion and Employability Policy for Economic Development, providing all the modeling of the Program and assisting in the monitoring and control structure of the implementation of this public policy. In the case of the TCA in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul, we produced a pioneering study on the effects of the implementation of the pulp industry in a small municipality, presenting a system for monitoring the impacts of investments of this magnitude in small localities. In addition to this study, we are currently developing in partnership with the Department of Education of the Ministry of Health the Predictor of School Performance, aiming to reduce failure, abandonment and dropout.
In the TCAs with municipalities, after making the innovative and unique "map" of Social Assistance in Brazil, which will be published soon, we are in the final phase of elaborating a detailed survey of the cost structure of basic protection services in the area of Social Assistance in Vitória and in the development of the expansion of the Failure Predictor for other school grades in the Municipality of Rio de Janeiro.
But in these two years we have gone far beyond the technical work resulting from TCAs. In partnership with GAPPE/UFPE, we launched the Atlas of Social Mobility, a rich set of information on the chances of social mobility for children born in the 1980s, whose parents were among the poorest 50% at that time. The data is available for all municipalities in Brazil and is open to access on the website.
In line with the environmental issue, we studied the impact of extreme weather events on the vulnerable population and in particular on those who receive Bolsa Família. Initially, we focused on rural areas and analyzed the impact of extreme droughts on the migration of individuals and families. The second stage is focused on urban areas, and in this case, the extreme weather events are rainfall.
In a totally innovative way, we carried out the first work that analyzes the first generation of beneficiaries of the Bolsa Família Program and identified that approximately 45% of the beneficiaries in 2005 had left the Program by 2019.
Still in the line of studies, we sought to identify the effect of mass layoffs on the life of the dismissed worker. The results reveal that, depending on the sector of activity, the time to recover the job and salary can vary from a few months to years and, in some cases, never return to the initial situation.
